Further
Bullishness but Caution at Higher Levels / Monthly Astro Range
between Tuesday and Friday… !!
Astro
Technical Guide and
General outlook for the week (14.10.2013 to 18.10.2013) ::
General outlook for the week (14.10.2013 to 18.10.2013) ::
Planetary
Position :: During the current week Moon would be
transiting from Dhanishta in Capricorn to Revathi in Pisces. Mercury ,transits in Visakha constellation in Libra. Mars transits in Leo in Makha constellation . Saturn continues in Libra in Swathi constellation in Pisces navamsa. Jupiter transits in Gemini in Punarvasu in Taurus Navamsa. Venus transits in in Anuradha and Jyeshta constellations in Scorpio sign. Mars’ continues in friendly Leo. Mercury would be slowing down ahead of retrograde motion later this month. Hence, market too would slow down over next Two to Three weeks and caution is advised at higher levels as Dual movements are also due later, Further, Range from Tuesday to Friday can be considered as a reference range for the next Three weeks and Nifty would be bullish above the High level and Bearish below the Low level.
transiting from Dhanishta in Capricorn to Revathi in Pisces. Mercury ,transits in Visakha constellation in Libra. Mars transits in Leo in Makha constellation . Saturn continues in Libra in Swathi constellation in Pisces navamsa. Jupiter transits in Gemini in Punarvasu in Taurus Navamsa. Venus transits in in Anuradha and Jyeshta constellations in Scorpio sign. Mars’ continues in friendly Leo. Mercury would be slowing down ahead of retrograde motion later this month. Hence, market too would slow down over next Two to Three weeks and caution is advised at higher levels as Dual movements are also due later, Further, Range from Tuesday to Friday can be considered as a reference range for the next Three weeks and Nifty would be bullish above the High level and Bearish below the Low level.
Nifty
Outlook for Next Week :: 14.10.2013 to 18.10.2013 ( Further Upmove
)…
NIFTY
:: 6096 (+189)
Nifty
gained about 3% and has completed Second weekly gain. Technically, some more
upside is possible and last week’s high could be taken out before it retraces
again. Q2 Results season has begun and Infy has delivered once again. Nifty has
been trading in a range of 4600 to 6200 for more than 4 years and is due for
a powerful breakout sooner than later. Q2 results season would
influence scripwise movements. Bank stocks have been laggards and might perform
better as more freedom for risk management is likely under new RBI Governor’s
regime. If Bank stocks contribute positively to the broader index, a smart rise
can be expected. IT, Auto, Pharma indices are doing well and as earnings. Main
concern now is political developments and in case new Government can provide
the much needed leadership, our economy should do well. Infra, Power
and Capital Goods sectors should be taken care. Stock market
discounts future in advance and is ahead of economy and bullish sign in markets
presupposes bullish economy. Nifty has been making higher bottoms and can be
expected to breakout and make higher tops. “Buy on Decline” may be followed for
Medium / long term. Traders should be ever vigilant to track short term
movements and presently, a close below 5950 would weaken the short term
sentiment. Global cues also play an important role this week as US Debt
Ceiling(which is expected to resolve favourably, considering the Dow
movement). Nifty is above 200 DMA and 50 DMA and the
only hitch is 50DMa being below 200DMA. As we draw close to State Elections
(which can be considered as a referendum for Lok Sabha polls), political
scenario also would be hotting up and ofcouse, in our country, it is all the
more important as Politics influence Economics. While short term trend appears
bullish, it would weaken only on a close below 5950. Technically, one more
positive weekly close can be expected after which caution is advised.
For the coming week, Nifty spot is expected to face resistance at
6175, 6255, 6330 and find support at 6020, 5940, 5865.
Nifty presently in bullish zone for short term would become bearish on a close below 5950.
Advice
for Traders :: Nifty is in uptrend and further upside is seen in this truncated
week. Global cues and Q2 results play an important role. For the week Buy on
Decline with 5950 as stop and reverse (on close basis).
WD
Gann’s
natural numbers which would act as natural support and resistance are
, : 5739: , 5815, 5891, 5968, 6046, 6124, 6202 ,6255, 6330 during the week.
natural numbers which would act as natural support and resistance are
, : 5739: , 5815, 5891, 5968, 6046, 6124, 6202 ,6255, 6330 during the week.
Further , Weekly Open level is
very important for the entire week.
Short positions may be avoided as long as it maintains / closes above
Weekly open and vice versa
Short positions may be avoided as long as it maintains / closes above
Weekly open and vice versa
MCX Commodities ::
14/10//13 to 18/10//13 …
Copper :: (445.75) Copper
traded between 459 and 440 last week and has made a lower bottom once
again on weekly basis. While the chart pattern suggests bullishness,
buying may be made only a firm close above 465. For the next week neutral range
is 464 and 454. It would be bearish below 454 with a strong support around 430.
Crude Oil ::
(6207) Crude traded between 6476 and 6174 last week . For the next week,
it would be neutral between 6500 and 6350 and bullish trend would return only
on a decisive close above 6500. In international market, it closed around
102 and a strong support exists around 97. However, it would become bullish
only on a close above 106.
Gold :: (28365 ) Gold
traded between 29750 and 28321 on MCX and between 1331 and 1260 $
in international market. During the week, it breached major support levels both
in domestic and international markets and has become a case of “Sell on Rise”
from “Buy on Decline”. For the next week, it would be in neutral range between
30400 and 29600 and hence in oversold zone and due for a pullback which may be used
for selling. However, there is strong temporary support around 27500 in
domestic market and around previous low of 1200$ in international market.
Lead :: (127.90 Lead
traded in a narrow range between 129.25 and 127 last week. It would be in
neutral zone between 129.25 and 127. While it is bearish, it should be sold
only on smart rise as Stop loss level is far away at 142. Pullback can be
expected if it maintains above 129.50.
Natural Gas :: (2 31 )
Natural Gas traded between 234 and 217 with higher tops and higher bottom on
weekly basis. Neutral range is 227 and 218 and is in short term
bullishness aslong as it maintains above 227.
Silver :: (46891 and
21.26 USD) It traded between 50123 and 46700 on MCX and between 22.52 and 20.95
$ in international market. For the next week, it is neutral between 49500 and
48100 and would turn marginally bullish above 49500. However, in international
market,there is strong su[[prt at 20.55$.
Zinc :: (115.60) Zinc
traded in a narrow range . between 117 and 113.90 during last week
and is in bearishness with strong resistance at 124.50. For the
next week, neutral range is 117 and 115. “Sell on smart Rise” (possible if it
continuously trades above 117) with strict stop loss at 124.50. Alternatively,
mild buying can be attempted above 117 with 115 as stop loss for a reasonable
pullback.
Commodity price movement
is influenced by USD INR movement.
Commodity Trading is highly risky and strict stop loss is to be
followed.
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